100% = league average. Offense: higher is better. Defense: lower is better. Net = Off − Def. Sum = average of the offense and defense ranks (lower is better; all-time ranks are across every team season). Each game is scored vs. what that opponent allows/scores in its other games. Tap a team for its games.
Projected playoff picture and draft order. JoDa simulates the rest of the season and the playoffs 10,000 times using current records and ratings, with the win model tested on 2000–2025 results. Seeds 1–4 are projected division winners, 5–7 wild cards. Proj = projected record, PO% = chance to make the playoffs, SB% = chance to win the Super Bowl. Waiting for April = the 10 worst projected records (the top of the draft) and each team’s chance at the #1 pick. An arrow shows who owns a traded pick (NYJ has IND’s, CLE has LAR’s, and NYJ gets the earlier of DAL’s and GB’s, with DAL keeping the other). The win model is matched to how far into the season we are (tested on how ratings from the same week predicted the rest of 2000–2025 seasons), so it gets more confident as the season goes on. Uses each team’s real remaining schedule, so division games and tough stretches count. Results only change when new scores come in, so everyone sees the same numbers. Home field isn’t counted.
JoDa is an independent project and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL, the NCAA, or any team.